Update 12:30 PM Thursday, October 5th
- An UPDATED FORECAST is available as of 5:50 AM Friday.
The tropical storm “Nate” (a possible hurricane) is now forecasted to pass 105 nautical miles NE of Utila on Friday Morning at 0300 AM. This is over 100 nautical miles closer than forecasted last night. Wind gusts are now forecasted to peak at 30 knots on Friday afternoon. This is over 10 knots more than forecasted last night. The government of Mexico has extended the Hurricane Watch westward
along the northern coast of the Yucatan peninsula to Rio Lagartos. Video Forecasts have been added (see below.) Marine Forecast for the Gulf of Honduras has been updated (see below).
Monitor the Weather Closely
Friday at 0100 AM the tropical depression will be off the coast of Puerto Lempira heading north. It is forecasted that by Friday at 0300 AM the tropical storm system will have strengthened and will be 105 nautical miles northeast of Utila as it heads towards the Yucatan peninsula where hurricane warnings have been issued. Strengthening
is likely over the northwestern Caribbean Sea Thursday night and Friday. The US National Hurricane Center offers tips for preparing for a storm or hurricane. In Utila, Expect over 3.1″ of rain accumulation over the next 72 hours. Strong winds will start late Thursday night. Sustained wind gusts in excess of 30 knots are expected to begin Friday at dawn (0300 AM) and continue throughout the day. The weather should begin to normalize by late Friday night.
The below video shows the system passing the Honduran coast. It starts at Puerto Lempira and then will make its way northeast of Utila as it continues to the Yucatan peninsula.
Summary of Watches & Warnings in Effect
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua to Punta Castilla Honduras A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous. Interests elsewhere in Honduras, the Bay Islands, western Cuba and
the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of the depression. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service. (Source: US NWS Hurricane Center)
Marine Forecast for the Gulf of Honduras*
Gulf of Honduras-
503 AM EDT Thu Oct 5 2017 …TROPICAL STORM WARNING… .TODAY…NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and E
10 to 15 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and
.TONIGHT…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 17N W of
87W, NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Elsewhere, NE to E winds 10 to
15 kt, increasing to 30 to 35 kt late. Seas 4 to 5 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.FRI…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 17N W of 87W,
NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Elsewhere, N winds 35 to 40 kt, shifting
to W to NW in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft S of 17N W of 87W,
and 8 to 9 ft elsewhere. Scattered thunderstorms.
.FRI NIGHT…SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and SW
15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and
.SAT…S to SW winds 5 to 10 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and SE to S
15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…SW winds 10 to 15 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and SE to S
15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN…S of 17N W of 87W, S to SW winds 5 kt, shifting to SE in
the afternoon. Elsewhere, SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or
less S of 17N W of 87W, and 5 ft elsewhere.
.SUN NIGHT…E winds 10 to 15 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and E to SE
15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 ft.
.MON…SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and E to SE 10 to
15 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT…E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, building to
3 ft late.
*Courtesy of the US NWS. For updated marine forecast visit the NWS website